Section VI Of Probability talks about chance. It goes into the discussion if things really happen by chance or the fact that us as humans do not understand the actual causes of certain particular events. Think of the example, one might think they are lucky if they win the lottery. But why are they lucky, because some machine picked the same numbers as you, therefore that makes you lucky. The question now is, what caused the machine to pick those numbers? If we think that luck or chance picked those numbers that is an ignorant belief in which humans seen to confide in when events happen that have no reasonable explanation. The problem with us understanding the causes of why the numbers are picked though, is because we do not fully comprehend the idea of power. For every cause there is some power that produces the effect. Some of these powers are more reasonable to understand than others. So therefore the understanding of power should ultimately enable us to understand every cause and effect, which should be able to answer a lot of questions that as of now, humans cannot seem to efficiently answer. The biggest problem though is how can humans understand power if we cannot fully measure it in every situation where we know it is present but not easily understood.
Steven Lippman
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
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This post got me thinking about the concept of luck. The idea of luck can almost always have an easily defined reason for being behind it. Although I personally would like to believe in luck, I understand why people would believe luck is essentially part of a sequence. It all depends on what time a person does something and then leads to a chain reaction. Timing is key in almost everything that has to do with luck. So, commenting to the above, the idea of luck as a power seems inaccurately mystical. As humans we lack the full understanding of luck, but that definitely does not make the concept unexplainable.
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